Tuesday, October 25, 2011
The Won, either desperate for reelection or displaying the "smart diplomacy" we heard about, has managed to get us kicked out of Iraq. Forty four hundred lives, tens of thousands of wounded, and it's about to all be pissed away.
There's a reason we're still in Germany and Japan, 60+ years after WWII: We steadied them as they grew their democratic institutions. Poor Iraq won't get the same help. The likely outcome is Saudi Arabia appeals to Iraq's Sunnis, and Iran appeals to its Shi'ites, and between them they tear the country apart. Maybe Turkey takes advantage of that to finally solve its Kurdish problem.
In the meantime, having "led from behind", Egypt, Libya, and Tunisia will likely see Islamist governments. Oh, and Egypt will likely see famine to boot. Goodbye Copts: Egypt's Muslim majority will vent its rage and fear on you. Egypt has lost control of the Sinai, but I'm sure al Shabaab will fill that particular vacuum.
The bottom line here is that The Won is completing the screwing of the Middle East that Jimmy Carter started back in 1979. If that area avoids a major war, it'll be by complete dumb luck.
There's a reason we're still in Germany and Japan, 60+ years after WWII: We steadied them as they grew their democratic institutions. Poor Iraq won't get the same help. The likely outcome is Saudi Arabia appeals to Iraq's Sunnis, and Iran appeals to its Shi'ites, and between them they tear the country apart. Maybe Turkey takes advantage of that to finally solve its Kurdish problem.
In the meantime, having "led from behind", Egypt, Libya, and Tunisia will likely see Islamist governments. Oh, and Egypt will likely see famine to boot. Goodbye Copts: Egypt's Muslim majority will vent its rage and fear on you. Egypt has lost control of the Sinai, but I'm sure al Shabaab will fill that particular vacuum.
The bottom line here is that The Won is completing the screwing of the Middle East that Jimmy Carter started back in 1979. If that area avoids a major war, it'll be by complete dumb luck.
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